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The NRF's 3.9 percent forecast exceeds a 3.4 percent growth forecast from another trade group, the International Council of Shopping Centers. It is also higher than a forecast from research firm ShopperTrak, which expects sales in stores to rise 2.4 percent. Others are more upbeat, with AlixPartners forecasting gains of 4.1 percent to 4.9 percent, up from 3.9 percent last year, while Deloitte called for sales to rise 4 to 4.5 percent for November-to-January, versus 4.5 percent growth a year earlier.
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